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 Tim Flannery: Australia’s great prognosticating flop

29.06.20. In case you hadn’t noticed! Andrew Bolt is not the kind of journalist you want hounding you down if you are anything less than you say you are, or pretend to be, the faux Aboriginal, Bruce Pascoe, for example. That’s code for watch out if you fit into any of the following categories: fake, a liar, a scaremonger about climate, a self aggrandising opportunist or just a plain old bullshitter. Unfortunately, back to the not missed one little bit is Julia Gillard’s climate Guru Tim Flannery, AKA in this blog most affectionately as Shim Shammery! He’s got a new book to add to the shedding machine now busy pulping Mr Turnbull’s rubbish. The pet shops sell the shreds to line the bottoms of bird and rabbit cages. Recycling at its best!
Bolt: Climate alarmist Tim Flannery’s new book could be very interesting.:
Flannery’s [book] would show how we could apply what we had learned from coronavirus to climate change.
The answer, of course, is DON’T TRUST MODELLING. Or the rush to embrace the scariest claims

TIM FLANNERY WRITES ON VIRUS LESSONS. BUT HAS HE LEARNED THEM?
Andrew Bolt, Herald Sun
June 28, 2020 10:08amModelling like this
Up to 150,000 Australians could die from the coronavirus under a worst case scenario, the Morrison government says… Deputy Chief Medical Officer Paul Kelly said that the number of infections would range between 20 per cent to 60 per cent of the population… “The death rate is around 1 per cent. You can do the maths.”
Deaths so far: 103.
Or modelling like this from the Medical Journal of Australia that we’d run out of emergency beds :
Australia has around 2200 ICU beds, which implies if public health measures fail to curb the rate of growth, Australia’s ICU capacity will be exceeded at around 22 000 COVID-19 cases sometime around the 5 April, 2020…
Not even close. Right now, just one Ausralian with the virus is in an ICU bed. At the peak, fewer than 50 beds were needed.
The parallels with global warming are astonishing.
Remember the modelling that said snow would virtually disappear? That low-lying Pacific islands would drown? That our dams would never filland Sydney would run out of water? That cyclones would get worse, polar bears vanish and food crops would get smaller? That arctic ice would be gone by now and penguins devastated?
All false. Check the links.
Wonder how Flannery of the Dud Predictions will deal with that?
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FLANNERY SUPPORTS ANTI-ABBOTT CANDIDATE. AND GETS JOB
Andrew Bolt, Herald Sun
January 28, 2019 7:26am

Yet another warming alarmist says she’ll run against Tony Abbott, but with the support of a man with an astonishing record of dud predictions:
Former world champion skiier Zali Steggall will place climate change at the centre of her campaign to seize the seat of Warringah from former prime minister Tony Abbott, naming environmentalist Professor Tim Flannery as a key supporter.
Flannery’s support should be a deal breaker. Rational people should be ashamed to boast of it, given his record:
FLANNERY in 2007 said global warming was so baking our Earth that “even the rain that falls isn’t actually going to fill our dams and our river systems”.
Instead, dams for Brisbane, Canberra and Sydney later filled to overflowing.
FLANNERY in 2015 said we’d see severe cyclones “more frequently in the future”. But the very next year, Australia for the first time recorded not one severe cyclone, continuing a pattern over four decades of fewer cyclones…
FLANNERY in 2005 predicted Sydney’s dams could be dry in as little as two years, leaving the city “facing extreme difficulties”. In 2008, he said: “Adelaide … may run out of water by early 2009.” In 2007, he claimed: “In Adelaide, Sydney and Brisbane, water supplies are so low they need desalinated water urgently, possibly in as little as 18 months.”
All three cities — and Melbourne, too — then built hugely expensivedesalination plants, convinced by the likes of Flannery that the rain would not return. All four plants have essentially been mothballed since.
FLANNERY in 2007 urged us to invest in “green” geothermal power — pumping water on to hot rocks underground.
He claimed … “the technology to extract that energy … is relatively straightforward”.
The Rudd government gave $90 million for a test plant in SA’s Cooper Basin, but a well collapsed, the site flooded and the project was abandoned.
But what suspicious timing – and what a curious appointment for a museum supposedly promoting good science:
The Australian Museum today announced the appointment of … Professor Tim Flannery as a Distinguished Visiting Fellow focussed on researching the impacts of climate change and raising awareness of the issues
Anyone in particular?
The Distinguished Visiting Fellow role is funded by the AM’s private donors.
And who might have had some influence in this?
The Museum is principally funded by the New South Wales Government… Under the Act the Museum is governed by an 11 member Trust, appointed by the Governor on the recommendation of the Minister.
And the minister is:
The Governor of NSW, in consultation with the Minister for the Arts Don Harwin, appoints our Trustees. Presumably, the Minister for the Arts would have consulted with Cabinet or at least the Premier in the selection of a Museum Director.
Alan Moran:
Last week, NSW’s Photios-aligned Arts Minister Don Harwin appointed Tim Flannery to the board of the Australian Museum. Days later, Olympics skier Zali Steggall announced the climate careerist would be aiding her independent bid to oust Tony Abbott from Warringah. With friends like this, just what sort of a party have the Liberals become?
Could this be a coincidence?
Hmm. Harwin? Who is also the minister for energy?
Harwin yesterday called the Morrison Government “out of touch on energy and climate policy” and urged it to aim for an incredible net zero carbon emissions by 2050…
He boasts that NSW has $26 billion in potential investment in clean energy, plus interest in a big pumped hydro scheme that must not be “spooked by poor policy”.
But what difference will all these subsidised projects make to the temperature? Zero. So why would Harwin promote more such schemes? Who is in his ear?
The website of a lobbying firm, Clean Energy Strategies, boasts it is “proud” to have advised clients involved in renewable energy. One was energy company AGL and another our “most successful private pumped hydro consortium” which needed “multi-million financial support from the federal government”.
Clean Energy Strategies is the company of Liberal faction boss Michael Photios and his wife, whose 2011 wedding in Phuket was attended by Harwin. And Harwin’s energy adviser until recently had worked for Photios’s main lobbying firm, Premier State.
Photios is very influential in preselections for NSW Liberal seats…
Photios is now moving against former PM Tony Abbott, another sceptic and critic of AGL’s plans. For instance, he spoke to the North Shore Environmental Stewards, a global warmist group which wants recruits to join the Liberal branch in Abbott’s seat.
No doubt Flannery’s appointment was the work of the Australian Museum. But I sure as hell doubt they’d have had any resistance at all from their minister about appointing such a politically connected alarmist at just this time.

{ 8 comments… add one }
  • Thunder 29/06/2020, 6:33 am

    A Flannel Mouth he was born and will die a Flannel Mouth.

    Not even rate in the footnotes of History.

    • Disgruntled 29/06/2020, 7:45 am

      Yair mate; How can a complete failure even get any mention let alone be given any sort of recognition?

      Just shows that a lot of our population is stark raving mad!!!

  • PW 29/06/2020, 7:26 am

    Modelling tweaked for the outcome they’re looking for.

    • Big Al 29/06/2020, 8:48 am

      ‘Consensual’ science is so erotic; always start with the answer you want, then fill in the details that best explains the perfect result needed for your argument.

  • Penguinite 29/06/2020, 9:04 am

    One of the very few ABC programs I have watched has been a trifecta on Australia’s East Coast Coastal Current. It was quite enjoyable until, in the last episode, it featured Flannel Mouth. There he was sitting on the foredeck of a 40′ yacht pontificating on the BS of climate change but acknowledging, at least, that it was the global system of sub-sea currents that controls our atmosphere. These largely invisible, interlinking systems, swirl around the globe dissolving co2 and making oxygen in the process.

  • Aktosplatz 29/06/2020, 9:43 am

    If ever a Quack Scientist should be sued as an imposter it’s Flannery.

    He was never qualified to assume such responsibility and authority on the Climate Sciences.

    He is not even a pure scientist, he is a paleontologist, and qualified in that discipline with a series of soft degrees. But a Paleontologist* he is and that’s all he is.
    (* Paleontologist = the branch of science concerned with the fossils of animals and plants)

  • Cliff 29/06/2020, 1:06 pm

    And yet he remains the absolute darling of the ABC.

    • Ivan 29/06/2020, 1:44 pm

      An indication of their average IQ methinks.

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