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 South Africa: the heart of Omicron has good news!

13.01.22.  A South African study led by researchers at the Steve Biko Academic Hospital found that the Omicron outbreak may be signalling the end of the acute pandemic phase of COVID-19, with the endemic phase following suit. The December 2021 study, funded by the South African Medical Research Council, compared 466 hospital admissions from the Omicron spread to 3976 admissions from May 2020, four months before the Omicron outbreak. The study found a significant decline in in-hospital deaths in the current infection wave, at 4.5 percent. Readers should note the caveat word—may!

Source: Tammy Hung, EP Times

South African Study: Omicron May Signal End of Acute Pandemic Phase

ICU admissions had also dropped from 4.3 percent to 1 percent, while the length of stay in hospital fell from 8.8 days to 4.0 days.
“The wave increased at a faster rate than previous waves, completely displacing the Delta variant within weeks and began its decline in both cases and hospital admissions in the fifth week following its commencement,” the researchers concluded, adding that there are “clear signs that case and admission rates in South Africa may decline further over the next few weeks.
“If this pattern continues and is repeated globally, we are likely to see a complete decoupling of case and death rates suggesting that Omicron may be a harbinger of the end of the epidemic phase of the COVID pandemic ushering in its endemic phase,” the researchers added.
The endemic phase of a pandemic is when the number of infections becomes relatively constant, allowing for occasional flare-ups, according to Jennie Lavine, an infectious-disease researcher at Emory University in an interview with Nature.
The study also found that only 45 percent of patients in COVID-19 wards needed oxygen support compared to 99.5 percent in the first wave.
Furthermore, a snap-shot of patients in the COVID-19 wards on Dec. 14–15 revealed that 63 percent of them were incidental, meaning that they were asymptomatic for COVID-19 and were admitted for medical, surgical, reproductive or psychiatric reasons.
“This phenomenon of ‘incidental COVID’ is not a phenomenon observed before in South Africa and most likely reflects high levels of asymptomatic disease in the community with Omicron infection,” researchers explained.
Only one third of the patients in COVID wards had COVID-19 pneumonia, of which 72 percent had “mild to moderate disease.” The remaining 38 percent required high care or ICU admission.
While the study examined patient data from the Steve Biko Academic Hospital Complex, the findings “were comparable to city-wide trends when cases and admissions from all public and private hospitals reported,” the researchers stated.

{ 6 comments… add one }
  • Pensioner Pete 13/01/2022, 7:09 am

    Even better news would be the government, both federal and state, were to allow doctors to prescribe Ivermectin and/or Hydroxychloroquine, then this current ‘outbreak’ of Covid or whatever variant is flavour of the day (infecting mostly the vaccinated), this ‘outbreak’ would be history within a fortnight as has been proven in the following nations, Mexico, Guatemala, Argentina, Brazil, Bolivia, Slovakia, the Czech Republic, Portugal, Nigeria, Egypt, Zimbabwe, South Africa (doctors are allowed to prescribe Ivermectin), India – Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Goa and Delhi and others.

    • Muphin 13/01/2022, 7:42 am

      PP,
      They won’t do that, there’s still a whole lot of money to be made from 3rd, 4th, …… monthly boosters.

      • Pensioner Pete 13/01/2022, 7:52 am

        Muphin, I note the current ‘contract’ for the vaccines expires March this year, and already, the pharmaceutical manufacturers are talking about the Omicron ‘vaccine’ nearing a state of ‘readiness’, what’s the betting the federal government will sign yet another contract for supply, a contract which expressly excludes the use of Ivermectin and/or Hydroxychloroquine, thus denying a cheap and proven effective treatment for Covid and it’s variants?

    • Disgruntled 13/01/2022, 7:43 am

      I await DT’s views and comments on Ivermectin and Hydroxychloroquine.

      F. me the State Govts really have excelled at frightening F out of everybody; Especially the Qld mob. This state is a hell of a shambles with “health” and how it is administered. The poor folks on the ground are trying hard but are loosing the battle somewhat.
      Health in Qld was already a shambles before covid and the Govt management area just don’t have a clue; Just one instance of pure bloody minded stupidity was the renaming of the Lady Cilento Childrens Hospital; Think about it the cost would have been huge to change EVERYTHING that had a name attached to it; The costings have NOT been revealed and will not be; The expense of that pig-headed Labor decision could have supplied at least a half dozen extra beds for ever. This is but one of the examples of Labor stupidity.

      Now even minor medical jobs are being put on hold. Hard to get much done these days.
      Ambulance issues also are right out of hand and the workers really overworked and stressed out.

      This labor mob couldn’t even organise a “good time” during a quiet time in a red light district!!

      Will they ever learn how to do things properly???

      • Neville 13/01/2022, 5:24 pm

        .. or possibly even “.. LOSING the battle somewhat ..”
        (LOL, mate)

  • John 13/01/2022, 8:06 am

    There used to be an old adage that when purchasing you ignore the most expensive and also the cheapest so you end up with a good product at a good price. Triggers are odd, when writing that I can hear my old Mum saying it but there are parallels to the chinese flu/vaccine argument where there are two mutually exclusive arguments. Ignoring the “cheapest and most expensive” it is becoming clearer by the day that the Pfizer vaccine neither stops you getting Delta nor stops you infecting others but may keep you out of hospital.
    So one out of three, to my simple mind its scores 33%. And just today the head of Pfizer admits their vaccine is almost useless against Omicron.
    So here is a thought. If Pfizer who have made 10,s of billions profit by churning out a less than successful product maybe they should be talking refunds of , oh well, 66% of their profits from those sales.

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