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 Shorten’s dream snatched away in a fantasy nightmare

18.05.19. A last minute tilt at the political windmill by Dennis Shanahan in The Australian said, “Bill Shorten is headed for an election win on a late lift in support and a surge in emotion over the death of Bob Hawke, and he’s showing it, giving up campaigning and celebrating the life of Labor’s longest-serving prime minister.”
Ah yes, the fickleness of the Aussie voter confirms we are indeed a bloody weird mob—we vote by emotion? Today’s Newspoll suggests that is so as Labor swallows a new performance enhancer drug, the Hawke-adrene capsule and produces a 12th hour sprint to the Lodge. The only good thing about the Hawke-adrene drug is that it wears off within 12 to 24 hours.
Bob was a national larrikin and what if his demise is a Labor ploy—a huge ruse? It might later be called, “Labor’s Easter—version 0.2.”Bob’s final wish, according to Bill Shorten, was to see Labor returned to office. To celebrate a 12th hour lift in the polls, Bob the ‘beer skol champion’ downed a brimming yard-glass of Toohey’s full strength New in a record breaking 6.5 seconds. A doctor was called and pronounced Bob as suffering an alcohol induced coma that would clear in 36 to 48 hours. That spells a resurrection on Sunday when vote counting establishes a Labor win. But alas, as Shorten, sporting his new uplift bra, surrounded by union thugs, is about to give his victory speech—a mantra repeated every morning and every night before bed since he was five-years-old, and in walks Bob, large as life and assumes his historic right to party leadership. Poor Bill!

Source: News Corp

Beers all round as surge of emotion tips scales to Bill Shorten

The two-party-preferred vote suggests Labor will return to office after six years of chaotic government, an even harder six years of graft out of government and the production of the biggest policy agenda from an opposition since John Hewson in 1993.
Getting his agenda of high-­taxing, big-spending, wealth redistribution through parliament appears to be the Opposition Leader’s biggest challenge. A hung parliament or a slim Labor victory is still possible and Labor’s thin ­argument of a mandate to introduce massive changes in the face of opposition in the House and Senate looks even thinner.
Shorten goes into the election with Labor ahead on the two-party-preferred vote in Newspoll, 51.5 per cent to 48.5 per cent, and at his highest preferred prime minister rating, although still trailing Scott Morrison.
Rather than spend his last day of the campaign blitzing marginal seats in three states, as the Prime Minister did, Shorten pulled off the campaign trail and decided to have a few emotional beers as the nation absorbed Hawke’s death.
But the Newspoll numbers — apart from the 2PP headline — contain warnings against early celebration and raise the prospect of a hung parliament. Although both leaders have received a personal lift from the campaign trail, the primary votes of the Coalition and ALP are at lower levels than the last time both squeaked into government.
The Coalition’s 38 per cent is not only below the crucial game-breaking level of 40 per cent but less than when John Howard fought the GST election in 1998, lost 20 seats and got just over 39 per cent on polling day. This is the lowest Coalition primary vote going into an election since 1987.
For Shorten, Labor’s 37 per cent is sobering — it’s below what Julia Gillard got in 2010 when Labor lost its majority and needed to negotiate with independents to form a minority government.
Labor is set to win today but a poor primary vote for both sides leaves open the nightmare of a minority government, a hostile Senate and the biggest agenda of change in decades.

{ 24 comments… add one }
  • Gregoryno6 18/05/2019, 7:26 am

    It’s going to be close, no doubt, but here’s to the Liberals getting over the line.
    They’re not much, but they’re better than the alternative.

  • Pensioner Pete 18/05/2019, 7:32 am

    Quote “Labor is set to win today but a poor primary vote for both sides leaves open the nightmare of a minority government, a hostile Senate and the biggest agenda of change in decades”.

    Definitely not a nightmare, as nothing would be sweeter as an outcome of today’s election. If ever there was a chance to force the major parties to actually govern for the people, today is the day by ensuring independents/minor parties hold the balance of power in both the houses of the parliament.

    Should this outcome become reality, PP and his .303, Bundy and XXXX to hand, will celebrate long and loud, whilst a thinin’ the black shapes, snouts embedded, down at the waterhole come dusk.

    • Tony H 18/05/2019, 9:26 am

      Didn’t we have that under Gillard? You call the likes of Oakshit, Windsock independants? Then later Lambie, Lazarus? You are sadly kidding yourself. The last election it was proven that even the likes of the matter hatter Bib Katter was supported by the CFMEU! an organisation that is nothing better than an organised crime syndicate. In this election campaign the likes of Zali Steggel are supported by GetUp, Unions and Labor! So Pensioner Pete I am sorry to pop your balloon there is no such thing as an actual independant. Not in this country.

      • Pensioner Pete 18/05/2019, 10:44 am

        I will be stoked to see PHON, Fraser Annings Conservative National Party, Fishers, Shooters and Farmers, Australian Conservatives and Katter’s Australian Party gain seats, whilst the majors, being LNP/ALP/Greens get the boot and are forced to form government with those I mention. Such an outcome will be a time for celebration out here in the forgotten outback.

    • Bertie Beetle 18/05/2019, 12:08 pm

      The counting will take days if we are looking at a minority govt and that will come down to preferencing. Hope people did what was needed to ensure preferences don’t end up with Labor/Greens, though I have misgivings on this. A Labor Green minority govt is about as bad an outcome as could be hoped for if they have the senate sewn up.
      Otherwise touch wood and hold your breath – hope it goes our way all!

  • Jarrah 18/05/2019, 7:56 am

    If Shorten gets in it means that 52.5% of the population are takers and not lifters, lured by the “free” giveaways by the biggest con in our political history. Braindead also springs to mind. This country is on the way to “Rooted-vill”.

  • GTD 18/05/2019, 7:56 am

    Hopefully, close.
    A minority government if Bull Shitten, TurtleHead gets over the line.
    And a hostile senate. Lots of independents.

    A WAKE UP CALL TO THE LNP. Is needed.
    Dump Paris. Kick the corrupt UN NWO to the gutter. Tear up any refugee agreements. New HELE coal fired generators are needed. Especially when Liddell 2000mw generators go. Nuclear options need to be started.
    New dams needed , Sydney running out due to high immigration.
    But alas we have NO IDEA politicians.
    Useless, spineless lying gutless self interested lying Pso 💩 .

    • Aktosplatz 18/05/2019, 8:13 am

      Yep, the LNP were told time and time again that the road to victory would have been easy had they carried out ideas and suggestions posted on this site for years, starting with the hated Paris agreement. Well, they didn’t listen, so they may lose big time and so will we.

      • Tony H 18/05/2019, 9:33 am

        ScoMo didn’t listen. Te guy is an idiot he was selected by Turnbull to carry the baton and has then been attacked by the Turnbulls. The Liberals down fall goes back to when they decided to follow the Labor lead and stab a first term PM who had won a massive majority. To listen to a back stabbing Machiavellian in Turnbull who wanted to sway direction his way to satisfy his own ego and bank account. Yes all these pro renewable wankers all have massive investments in the renewable energy market that is why they rely in Government subsidies. They don’t care about your power bills or your standard of life. Just their bank accounts. Why does Turnbull have millions stashed away in the Cayman Islands? I cannot believe people listen to him or the likes of him. Even now as we speak he continues in his manic, petulant campaign to destroy Tony Abbott and those who supported him. His jealousy knows no bounds nor does his callous disregard for what is right.

    • Cliff 18/05/2019, 8:15 am

      GTD, please come and remove that bug you (obviously) have planted in my living room. Hw else can you’ve echoed my sentiments so exactly?

      • Aktosplatz 18/05/2019, 9:57 am

        Good Post Tony H.

  • Gregoryno6 18/05/2019, 8:17 am

    Laurie Oakes said in the Herald that Hawke proves it’s a myth that Labor can’t run the economy.
    How does a fat leftie manage to leap across thirty years and completely ignore Rudd and Gillard? Not to mention a few disastrous state governments as well.

  • Honeybadger 18/05/2019, 9:15 am

    Yep it wasn’t that hard but the Libs look like they’re kaput.
    It’s a beautiful day here in Victoria so all the young morons will be out of their beds and unfortunately, voting. Pity Hawke couldn’t have waited till after the election!

  • Botswana O'Hooligan 18/05/2019, 12:42 pm

    Just voted in the electorate of Oxley and the polling station was swamped by Labor and Greens all over the place. It has been like that all week at another venue for pre poll voting near here too. The KGB representative and myself took great delight in placing Labor and the Greens last on both papers. The Labor people were all old stagers but the Greens were all young people, just goes to show eh?

    • TommyGun 18/05/2019, 2:55 pm

      Hey Bots I just received my papers in time (17th) over here behind the Iron Curtain. Will post them today but have doubts they’ll be back before the cutoff date. Anyway, Greens and Labor were placed last & next-to last on my paper FWIW.

      • Bertie Beetle 18/05/2019, 4:59 pm

        has to be posted today for it to count

  • Rubyred 18/05/2019, 4:51 pm

    I have been working at a Polling booth today and cannot believe how many
    of the voting public look so withdrawn and even sulky at having to vote. I was also appalled at how many very elderly people, obviously suffering from dementia were doing their best to come to the polls. They would not have the slightest idea of how to negotiate this preferential voting system.
    It should be first past the post. I think it has been deliberately fashioned like this to mislead the public who have not the slightest idea about politics. There would have to be many invalid votes and donkey votes. No way to run the electoral system of a country.

    • Bertie Beetle 18/05/2019, 4:58 pm

      Good point. Ageing population, longevity much greater especially for women, with dementia the leading cause of death of elderly women.

      These people are forced to vote and not knowing the system as many don’t know or care about their options, here they turn up. Imagine having to work out who to vote for in that situation – you’ll vote for who you recognise.

      No wonder the above the line votes are still more than 90% consistently since full preference voting was abolished decades ago.

    • Neville 18/05/2019, 10:54 pm

      Agreed, Ruby. I differ a little – I think the best voting method is what’s called Approval Voting. Electors give a tick to any one or more people they think are OK. The candidate with the highest number of ticks is the winner, regardless of the percentage. Sort of first past the post, but with a much wider range of “preferences”, or approvals.

  • Aktosplatz 18/05/2019, 8:13 pm

    At 8.05 pm it’s reported that Tony Abbott has lost his seat of Warringah to Ms Stegall, quite a massive swing against him too. He has endured endless verbal and undermining abuse since he won the 2013 election, and enough is finally enough. IMO He is a big loss to Australia (note: not to the Liberals, they clearly didn’t want him) and the protracted fight was too much. It’s a worry that outside interventions in terms of hostile reporting, hostile cash donations, have had such an effect.

    It’s also a worry that the issue that may have caused his loss is Climate Change, which is a non- issue, which Abbott has always maintained, and he’s paid the price.

    I’m deeply sorry for him but I hope he is relieved it’s all over and he can move on.

    He has my sincere thanks and best wishes for the future.

  • TommyGun 18/05/2019, 10:30 pm

    Labor may well be celebrating getting rid of Tony Abbott, but I’ll be celebrating their loss! What a cracker of a result. The MSM had the Lib/Nats dead for all money, after how many Newspolls?
    I think they got rid of that toxic bastard Turnbull just in time.
    Anyway, glad for the Libs but sad PHON hasn’t grabbed a seat.
    Be interesting to see how they go in the Senate.

    • Gregoryno6 19/05/2019, 1:05 am

      Saw a comment on The Australian website that made me laugh:
      “Bill Shorten has phoned Scott Morrison to ask why Malcolm Turnbull wasn’t still Prime Minister.”

  • TommyGun 18/05/2019, 11:41 pm

    As the car advertisement goes: “I’m STILL FEELIN” IT!”
    The dog has just resigned.
    Labor…the gift that just keeps on giving!

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