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 It’s true, it’s accurate, but it’s ‘misleading’, dump it.

29.11.20.  A report of a senior Johns Hopkins lecturer’s analysis concluding that the coronavirus had NO overall effect on the total number of deaths in the United States was retracted by the university on Thursday. [The publication of the story was retracted – not the story itself, not the figures, not the facts – Ed]. Essentially, Genevieve Briand, a longtime professor of economics and statistics, argued in a recent webinar that the virus is deadly primarily to older people with multiple underlying conditions who already were near death, meaning the overall death count has not been affected. But an editor’s note posted Friday said an article about her presentation published by the student newsletter has been “used to support dangerous inaccuracies that minimize the impact of the pandemic,” [An unsurpassable bit of gobbledegook that has PM Morrison green with envy -Ed]

Source: Art Moore, WND

Johns Hopkins retracts report finding COVID death count ‘not alarming’

The article, the Johns Hopkins University News-Letter said, was retracted “to stop the spread of misinformation” but made available as a PDF because it’s “our responsibility as journalists to provide a historical record.”
The controversial report featured Briand’s webinar Nov. 11 titled “COVID-19 Deaths: A Look at U.S. Data,” which was hosted by the university’s Krieger School of Arts & Sciences, where she is assistant program director of the Applied Economics masters degree program.
Briand, who teaches Microeconomic Theory, Statistics and Econometrics, argued the significance of COVID-19 on U.S. deaths can be fully understood only through comparison to the number of total deaths in the country.
The CDC data showed there were 1.7 million total deaths in the United States between mid-March and mid-September, of which 200,000 are COVID-19-related. Briand examined the total deaths in each age group and the cause of death in her analysis.
“Surprisingly, the deaths of older people stayed the same before and after COVID-19,” she found, according to the News-Letter report.
“Since COVID-19 mainly affects the elderly, experts expected an increase in the percentage of deaths in older age groups,” the report said.
But no such increase was seen in the CDC data.
“These data analyses suggest that in contrast to most people’s assumptions, the number of deaths by COVID-19 is not alarming. In fact, it has relatively no effect on deaths in the United States,” the report said. “This comes as a shock to many people. How is it that the data lie so far from our perception?”
The editor’s note posted Friday explained that the News-Letter is an editorially and financially independent, student-run publication and its content is not endorsed by the university or the School of Medicine.
The decision to retract the article was made “independently.”
“Briand’s study should not be used exclusively in understanding the impact of COVID-19, but should be taken in context with the countless other data published by Hopkins, the World Health Organization and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC),” the editor’s note said.
The note pointed out that Briand is neither a medical professional nor a disease researcher and that she said in her talk that more research and data are needed to understand the effects of COVID-19 in the U.S.
However, Briand’s analysis was within the scope of her expertise as a statistician. Before coming to Johns Hopkins, she was an instructor at the University of Idaho, adjunct assistant professor of economics at Washington State University and a tenured associate professor at Eastern Washington University. She received her PhD from Washington State University.
The editor’s note insisted Briand’s claim that death numbers in 2020 are not above normal “is incorrect and does not take into account the spike in raw death count from all causes compared to previous years.”
“According to the CDC, there have been almost 300,000 excess deaths due to COVID-19,” the note said.
Briand’s study, the News-Letter’s article and its retraction have sparked considerable debate on social media amid controversy over how COVID deaths are determined, the reliability of government data and the complexities of statistical analysis.
Overall, the CDC says, just 6% of the people counted as COVID-19 deaths died of COVID-19 alone. Those who died of coronavirus, according to the CDC, had an average of 2.6 comorbidities, meaning more than two chronic diseases along with COVID-19.
The CDC estimates a 99.997% survival rate for those from birth to age 19 who contract COVID-19. It’s 99.98% for ages 20-49, 99.5% for 50-69 and 94.6% for those over 70.
Former New York Times reporter Alex Berenson, who has challenged the convential coronavirus narrative, arguing science doesn’t support lockdowns, thinks Briand’s analysis is flawed. He tweeted a link to CDC data showing mortality in 2020 is 13% above expected.
The CDC estimates more than 350,000 excess deaths this year, he points out. Many of those are due to the lockdowns, he said, but the majority are the sick and elderly.
Others took issue with him, contending he was misrepresenting Briand’s argument.
Briand found in her analysis that there naturally was a sudden increase in deaths early in 2020 compared to previous years that was due to COVID-19.
But she also noticed a significant decrease in deaths due to heart disease and all other causes.
“This suggests, according to Briand, that the COVID-19 death toll is misleading,” the report said. “Briand believes that deaths due to heart diseases, respiratory diseases, influenza and pneumonia may instead be recategorized as being due to COVID-19.”
The Johns Hopkins News-Letter article noted the CDC classifies all deaths that are related to COVID-19 simply as COVID-19 deaths.
“Even patients dying from other underlying diseases but are infected with COVID-19 count as COVID-19 deaths.”
It’s likely “the main explanation as to why COVID-19 deaths drastically increased while deaths by all other diseases experienced a significant decrease.”
“All of this points to no evidence that COVID-19 created any excess deaths,” Briand concluded. “Total death numbers are not above normal death numbers. We found no evidence to the contrary.”
Briand was asked by the Johns Hopkins News-Letter to address the question of whether COVID-19 deaths can be called misleading since the infection might have exacerbated and even led to deaths by other underlying diseases.
She said that if the COVID-19 death toll “was not misleading at all, what we should have observed is an increased number of heart attacks and increased COVID-19 numbers.”
“But a decreased number of heart attacks and all the other death causes doesn’t give us a choice but to point to some misclassification
,” Briand replied.
The News-Letter clarified: “In other words, the effect of COVID-19 on deaths in the U.S. is considered problematic only when it increases the total number of deaths or the true death burden by a significant amount in addition to the expected deaths by other causes.”
“Since the crude number of total deaths by all causes before and after COVID-19 has stayed the same, one can hardly say, in Briand’s view, that COVID-19 deaths are concerning.”
Briand emphasized in the interview that while COVID-19 is a serious national and global problem, people should not forget about the tragic loss of lives from other causes.

{ 8 comments… add one }
  • Muphin 29/11/2020, 5:42 am

    As of today. Globally there are 62,329,847 covid-19 infections. There are 1,455,028 deaths and 43,029,686 people have recovered.

    The number of death equate to 0.023344 % of the number of infections. Only 13% (189,154)of the deaths are from the Chines flu.
    The remaining deaths are due to underlying diseases.

  • Cliff 29/11/2020, 5:45 am

    So, a precis for those who don’t have the time to read the whole article: if a story is true but doesn’t fit the anti-Trump meme, it must be pulled.

    Sounds like the Yanks are taking lessons from ‘our’ ABC.

    • luk1955 29/11/2020, 7:29 am

      The other way around Cliff. This nonsense has been going on in the US for longer than here. It started well before the WTC “attacks” and has continued with even more ferocity since people accepted the “government” version of the WTC attacks being due to 19 camel riders from the Sahara desert. The obfuscation of truth has been going on for at least 50 years. The science community has been leading the way in obfuscation of truth for the last 40 years.

  • Botswana O'Hooligan 29/11/2020, 9:33 am

    For what it is worth, I have been in and out of all sorts of medical facilities for the past few months, GP’s specialists, CT scans, pathology joints, and in short just about every sort of medical place around. I have asked the following questions of them all (including a couple in our family who are in the medical business) –have you had anyone with Covid-19 in your practice and do you know of anyone who has had Covid-19 — The answers have been “NO.” As Luki always opines, it’s a con job. Again, in the USA apparently there is a premium paid to the institution where people have died if they died from Luki’s con job so everyone dies from Covid-19, simple.

  • mike Sc 29/11/2020, 10:01 am

    Gambling with dodgy statistics.

    Most Australians did an amazing job to stop this virus, and other virus strains. Well done Ladies and Gentlemen.

  • JD 29/11/2020, 11:44 am

    This article is pure gobbledygook and impossible to understand in any rational way and presents an insult to the English language.

    By now, a so-called alternative media site such as this one should have cottoned on to the incontrovertible truth that no coronavirus has yet been isolated.

    This along with all the other supposed viruses such as Ebola, Zika, Mars, Sars, Spanish Flu etc that the CDC has tried to force upon an unsuspecting public.

    Since the advent of the false “germ theory” of the last 160 years the medico-pharma cartel will and has continued to invent and construct epidemics.

    When one becomes attuned to the wisdom of the human body, the concept of a contagion becomes impossible.

    For an idea on the subject read:

    Thomas S Cowan MD and Sally Fallon-Morell.
    The Contagion Myth – Why viruses Are Not The Cause Of Disease. 2017

    • Botswana O'Hooligan 29/11/2020, 4:29 pm

      Most interesting about 5G installations.

  • Walahwalah Bishbin 29/11/2020, 11:15 pm

    Lisbon Court of Appeal 11 Nov 20 ruling finds PCR non-test is not a reliable test for anything least of all COVID-19. Check it out:
    Oh dear – its starting to fray around the edges a bit dearie

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