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 Chemtrails: true, or a conspiracy theory?

12.01.20. A comment from JS on MM’s forum yesterday raised the matter of “Cemtrails”. While it’s not the latest pitch from the global warming warriors who are adroit at inventing anything and everything that might even remotely, even stupidly, suit their rampant agenda to reshape the path of all mankind have settled on “Chemtrails”—government pumping deadly chemicals into jet streams which rain down upon us all. What governments around the world are doing to us is really frightening. Strontium, Barium, lithium, thorium, magnesium and a dozens more “ums” are settling in the lungs of people and in the forests where only water added will ignite the lot, and you thought they were lightning strikes? Of course, this grand plan from the minds of morons has one fatal flaw—the politicos who shovel this muck into the atmosphere live in the same regions and breathe the same air as the victims, as do their families and friends. So, until we see all the political class, their families and friends all running around wearing military-grade full-face gas masks regard “Chemtrails” as pure bullshit! It could be called “Death from above” a rock band from the 70s. Also used by US 101st Airborne Div and others and was true to the words.

The Keith Group, Harvard University.
There is No Evidence for the Existence of Chemtrails
Extraordinary claims require extraordinary proof. The claim that there is a large-scale secret program to spray materials from aircraft is extraordinary. Yet all the evidence we have seen to date has been very weak. The most common claim is simply that aircraft contrails look “different”, without any comparative analysis. This as convincing as saying that alien beings walk among in disguise as people because some people act very strangely.
Chemtrails conspiracy theory gets put to the ultimate test
Source: 18 August 2016,  by Phil Plait, NewScientist.
What happened when 77 atmospheric scientists actually took a look at the claim that aircraft are spewing out mind-controlling chemicals?
I’ve spent a lot of time debunking silly conspiracy claims in my time. NASA faked the Moon landings, the Mayan calendar predicted the end of the world in 2012, a mysterious planet named Nibiru would wipe out life on Earth in 2003, the government created fake snow in Atlanta that wouldn’t melt and scorched when burned… I’ve even debunked government officials who claim that other government officials are covering up conspiracies.
So when I say I haven’t bothered debunking chemtrails because they’re too goofy even for me, you can glean how I really feel about them.
Still, a handful of people are extremely devoted to the idea that the government is spraying us with chemicals from planes, and what you think are simple contrails are actually high doses of mind-altering (or climate altering) chemical compounds meant to keep us under control, I mean, come on, wake up sheeple!
Just water vapour
In fact, when you see clouds coming from planes they really are just the product of condensation of water vapour. But why let facts get in the way of a good conspiracy?
Still, it’s worth trying. That’s why scientists from the University of California, Irvine, and the Carnegie Institute got together and researched the topic.
They knew they wouldn’t convince the conspiracy theorists, but having a solid source of objective science might help inform the public discourse.
What else is going on up there? No-fly zone: Exploring the uncharted layers of our atmosphere
Given how anti-science so many members of the US Congress can be, I don’t think there’s any idea too silly for them to not take seriously.
They surveyed hundreds of experts in contrails as well as those who study atmospheric deposition (how various chemicals fall to the ground from the air), presenting them with the evidence provided on various chemtrail websites (mostly in the form of photos of plane trails and analyses of water and soil samples), asking them to evaluate it.
No evidence
In the end, 77 scientists reported back, and the results were not terribly surprising. 98.7 per cent (76 out of 77) of the scientists said they had encountered no evidence of a secret large-scale atmospheric programme (SLAP). Everything they saw on the conspiracy websites showed that what they were seeing was the natural consequence of planes flying around all on their own without government nefariousness.
Of course, the first thing you’ll notice is the one scientist who dissented. In that case, it’s hardly a smoking gun: The one participant who answered yes said the evidence they had come across was “high levels of atm[ospheric] barium in a remote area with standard ‘low’ soil barium”.
In other words, they found some unusually high amounts of barium, which hardly supports the idea of wide-spread cover-ups of mind control techniques – and it sounds like the scientist in question was simply saying they can’t rule SLAP out, which is a very different thing from saying it’s real. When I can’t find my keys in the morning I can’t rule out that dinosaur ghosts hid them from me. It just seems a tad unlikely.
Walk away
The research is actually rather interesting, and I encourage you to read it. But as the authors note, it won’t make a dent in the conspiracy theories. The first thing you’ll find out when you deal with people like that is that any evidence against them is part of the cover-up. This is what I call a philosophical cul-de-sac; they’ve removed themselves from any possible evidence and criticism, and at that point I’ve learned to walk away.
What else is going on up there? Rain makers: How high-flying bacteria could control the clouds
At least to walk away from them specifically; in some cases it’s worth pursuing the discussion with the public because they’re liable to hear about it, and a place to find actual facts and debunking is a handy thing to make available.
So I’m glad these scientists went to the effort, even though it may seem silly. Conspiracy theorists usually don’t make a big splash in real life, but if they get the ear of a politician, time, money, and effort can indeed be wasted – sometimes on a big scale. Given how anti-science so many members of Congress can be, I don’t think there’s any idea too silly for them to not take seriously.
If Congress critters think Earth is cooling, that it’s only 6000 years old, that vaccines are dangerous, and that the existence of snow disproves global warming, then chemtrails don’t seem like that much of a stretch.
{ 2 comments… add one }
  • Botswana O'Hooligan 12/01/2020, 8:47 am

    The vortex made by the wing tip or engine exhaust lowers the air pressure and increases the relative humidity, pretty simple. Radio hams for instance did use contrails to extend the range of radio signals via a process known as “ducting” and proof of that was found at certain times of the year in Cairns, usually in winter time when the control tower frequency of 118.1 was changed to 124.9 because an aircraft taxying at Cairns would get Port Moresby Tower on 118.1 and a bit of confusion would ensue.

  • Ross herman 13/01/2020, 8:02 am

    The scoffing nature of this article misses the point. Scientist by nature are theorists. The addition of “conspiracy” was by the CIA to disparage enquiring minds. This article continues that effort by ridiculing everything that is being legitimately queried. Let the debate happen and the cards fall where they may.

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