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West Australian election

Out With The Old election
In With The Old election:

A Preview of the Western Australia State Election.

I’ll put my prediction up front: Colin Barnett and the Liberals will be returned to power.

It won’t be comfortable win. They’ll lose votes, and maybe some seats. And it could fairly be described as a victory they don’t deserve. They’ve got nothing going for them except their opponents.

The massive revenues of the mining boom have dwindled away and somehow Western Australia finds itself with a growing burden of debt. The government proposes to sell part of Western Power and raise $8 billion. Labor under Mark McGowan has attacked the idea. But compared to Labor’s debt reduction scheme Barnett’s idea seems almost palatable.

In early February the shadow Treasurer announced a plan to park a percentage iron ore royalties in a debt reduction account – but this percentage would only be taken if a two-headed cow was born at noon on the steps of Parliament House just as the Chief Justice went jogging in a ball gown.

Or something like that.

At any rate the conditions imposed aren’t exactly common or likely in the current economic climate. Labor has admitted that its plan would not do anything to lower debt in the foreseeable future.

In a pamphlet issued in January Labor claimed it would ‘repay debt slowly and carefully, like paying off a house’. Banal as that line is they should have stuck with it, for the nodding acquaintance it shows toward reality.

McGowan hasn’t stopped at airing his own bad ideas. He’s borrowed the worst of Labor states in the east as well, supporting the introduction of Victoria’s Safe Schools program into WA. On the issue of power supplies, McGowan has effected a strategic retreat. Labor policy of fifty per cent power from renewables is not immutable. Nevertheless comparisons have been made to a certain former Prime Minister, and her ‘There will be no carbon tax…’

Most of the campaign’s excitement has been centred around Pauline Hanson and the endless drama that is One Nation. The old instability seems to have returned; decisions made on a whim, people ejected unceremoniously. Management seems often to be predicated on the sole criteria of Will this remind people that it’s Pauline Hanson’s party, and not theirs?

The expulsion of two long-serving members has cost One Nation valuable support. The preferences deal with the Liberals was likewise received badly in some quarters. Why have we been fighting against these bastards all these years, Pauline, if you’re going to just turn around and play footsie with them?

Several candidates have been disendorsed, among them David Archibald.

Archibald’s One Nation links will no doubt come as a surprise to the Australian Liberty Alliance, when they eventually get the news – as of this date, Archibald is still listed as an ALA candidate for the Senate from last year’s federal election.

But ALA have been out to lunch throughout this campaign, so Dave may be able to sneak back unnoticed. Perhaps he’ll renew his Liberal Party membership too.

The polls say Labor will win, and the bookmakers are giving McGowan’s team the nod as well. But the bookies said Malcolm Turnbull was a shoo-in last July. I don’t know their precise definition of ‘shoo-in’ but I’d say it probably means winning by more than one seat. Especially when you start with a 13-seat margin.

There’s no excitement in the final days of the campaign, no horses at the starting gate readiness for action and change. In the end the voters may be influenced most by Labor’s performance in the eastern states. The deciding factors may well be the governments of Daniel Andrews, Jay Weatherill and Annastacia Palaszczuk. In which case Western Australians will choose, however reluctantly, to stick with the devil they know.

GregoryNo6 is a regular commenter on MM and has his own website, a well written site than we highly recommend. It has been voted the #1 website in the world.
For future reference the address is https://gregoryno6.wordpress.com/

Comments on this entry are closed.

  • Peter Sandery 11/03/2017, 7:47 am

    I too think the Libs will win but only because they are the least worse, a shame really for a State that has so much potential.

    • Peter Sandery 12/03/2017, 8:03 am

      Fouled up here, didn’t I!

      • Gregoryno6 12/03/2017, 8:32 am

        Join the club! I’m thinking about changing my name, but I can’t choose between ‘Malcolm Mackerras’ or ‘Lou Richards’.

      • Joe Blogs 12/03/2017, 2:00 pm

        You blokes are only amateur inverse prognosticators. Flim Flannery will take some beating.

      • Joe Blogs 12/03/2017, 2:05 pm

        Can we expect posts from “Gregoryno7” from now on?

      • Gregoryno6 12/03/2017, 7:03 pm

        Maybe Gregory007 – licensed to kill governments! No No, Madam Triggs, that was just a joke…

  • Penguinte 11/03/2017, 8:57 am

    Sad to see Pauline Hanson being taken to the cleaners by MSM and ABC especially. She’s full of the right stuff but needs a Cory Benardi to keep her in check. Doubt she’ll win any seats but her influence will still benefit Barnett.

    • Spinbuster 11/03/2017, 10:00 am

      I think your right about Pauline.
      Hopefully WA will be the “don’t make the same mistakes twice school” for QLD.

      I am totally flabbergasted about the spite of some PHON candidates. They are worse than vindictive spoilt children ..or are they LibLab infiltrators. Jeez it is weirder than weird. Don’t they talk?
      Reds under the bed I know, but surely one would think that a potential candidate would be given some sort of PHON aims and ideals check list to peruse long before becoming a candidate, and certainly not around polling day.
      Surely you would think “that which unites them is far greater than that which divides them”, in which case you would keep your bickering internal, at least until the counting had finished.
      Maybe my temperament is different to most, but for me there is always another day, the cup is always half full, make friends instead of enemies and “keep the common good paramount.” …even if you have to swallow a bit of pride.
      Far better to build on the wins, then to never build on the losses.

  • Margaret 11/03/2017, 10:05 am

    I agree. I think the Libs will win.

  • Topsy 11/03/2017, 10:11 am

    In a sense, Barnett and WA have been hard done by. They supplied rivers of revenue to the East Coast to live in clover during the mining boom, then reaped a paltry return of the GST paid to the state.
    The split of the GST return is wrong. It should be based solely on population, not keeping mendicants states like SA in funds to waste on ridiculous schemes such as turning the lights of on their constituency.
    I was surprised and rather impressed by McGowan on Sky earlier in the week and thought it wrong that Barnet wasn’t there to provide a contrast to Labor ideas.
    Still, I would much prefer to see the Barnett Government re-elected, because come day go day, Liberals are usually more conservative in money management than Labor. That is a truth which cannot be denied as we have seen Labor’s prowess with money mismanagement where ever they have governed.

    • Gregoryno6 11/03/2017, 10:18 am

      McGowan reminds me of Daniel Andrews in his appearance as well as his policies. His image seems very carefully streamlined, bland – a face crafted to be as inoffensive as possible, and maybe even forgettable.

      • Topsy 11/03/2017, 10:59 am

        Don’t know about forgettable. Can’t get his face out of mind – something about the eye, calculating, amused at questions perhaps, certainly smug and definitely bland. God help WA if he is another Andrews. Could be also God help Australia when the prowess of Trumble is factered in.

      • Joe Obmud 11/03/2017, 7:03 pm

        To be fair. I do not anyone could be worse than Daniel Andrews.

  • Neville 11/03/2017, 10:59 am

    Agreed, G6.
    Just heading out to vote now, polls open in 5 minutes.
    I very much suspect a return of Barnett too, though like the Turdball, with a slashingly reduced majority,

    • Gregoryno6 11/03/2017, 11:03 am

      I haven’t put any money on a Liberal win, Neville. That alone should push them over the line.

      • Neville 11/03/2017, 8:59 pm


  • Bazza 11/03/2017, 2:08 pm

    Perhaps PHON would fare better if Pauline Hanson removed her name from the title and it just became One Nation. It may also be advantageous to have someone like Malcolm Roberts become a more prominent spokesperson for the party. Whilst Pauline has some great policies which appeal to many voters she is still a bit of a loose canon. Many Liberals are unhappy with the preference deal with PHON but consider that anything is better than the alternative. I hope that the Libs get back in. They will certainly have my vote.

  • KG 11/03/2017, 2:20 pm

    Good article, Gregory. It’s refreshing to see somebody tell it like it is, without the leftist media’s spin and outright lies.

  • brickbob 11/03/2017, 11:43 pm

    You idiots must be on bloody drugs,Labor has already won 31 seats as we speak and will probably pick up a couple more as well and will form the next Government of WA.

    • Neville 12/03/2017, 12:56 am

      You will notice, brickhead, that all remarks and comments on here refer to a time PRIOR to your diatribe; whereas you have the advantage of commenting AFTER the result was made clear.

  • Ronbo 12/03/2017, 3:08 am

    I’m a Yank living in Seattle, Washington but I can’t help but to note that many of the problems in Australia mirror events in this country. I take it your Labor Party is a Leftist political organization much like our Democrat Party. The Australian Liberal Party is somewhat like the USA Republican Party. Your Labor Party like our Democrats are a socialist organization that stands for Big Government control of all aspects of civil life to include energy resources. Your Liberal Party stands for small government, low taxes and capitalism like our USA Republicans. Myself I’m a stalwart Republican and I salute my cousins in Western Australia standing for free minds, free markets, and limited government that doesn’t tax the average guy or gal out of existence.

    • Gregoryno6 12/03/2017, 8:07 am

      That’s a pretty fair understanding of the situation, Ronbo. Thanks for the words of support.

  • DB8tr 12/03/2017, 3:21 pm

    McClown thinks he ‘won’ with the usual Obamaesque non-sense. No. Mr McClown you didnt win. Its merely that you didnt lose. The weak libs lost. There is a big difference. Snowfalke liberalism lost. The WA union/socialist party with a McClown in charge will take WA over the cliff. The usual will happen. Massive bureaucracy . Massive debt. Massive PC. An election and they will be tossed out for yet another conservative rescue mission (if one actually still exists).

    • Neville 12/03/2017, 5:27 pm

      And not forgetting, DB8tr, the cancellation of all sorts of infrastucture projects – a la Victoriastan – that’ll cost us long-suffering Westralians MILLIONS to actually NOT do something!