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Now One Nation has the whip hand—put ’em last!

One Nation has the whip hand now—put ’em last!

More than two decades ago it was PM John Howard whom, in fear of a rising One Nation Party, began the pernicious practice of advocating that all parties put One Nation last on their how-to-vote cards. One Nation is a racist, redneck rabble was the message, and it was effective. Mr Howard’s wonderful advice will now be used in the Queensland elections soon to be called. Labor and the LNP will feel the pain that beset One Nation all those years ago. “What goes around, comes around.” To the chagrin of John Howard who chirps loudly today.

One Nation plans to direct preferences against all sitting MPs at the looming Queensland election after Pauline Hanson’s key ­adviser admitted that the party had blundered by trading votes with the West Australian Liberals in March.

Source: News Corp

One Nation’s preference: put all sitting MPs last

The move is a blow for the Liberal National Party, which needs a strong flow of preferences from One Nation to offset the votes it has lost to Senator Hanson’s ­resurgent party.

Her chief of staff, James Ashby, said One Nation intended to put sitting MPs from the ALP and LNP last on its how-to-vote card and there would be no comprehensive deal with the Tim Nicholls-led opposition in Queensland.

“That was a mistake we made as a party,” Mr Ashby said of the preference swap that backfired on both One Nation and the WA Liberals at the March 11 state election in the West.

“The preference deal did ­nothing for either side. All it did was cause heartache … and we won’t be repeating it.”

Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk has ruled out a preference swap with One Nation and is adamant Labor would neither seek nor accept support from the Hanson party to form government in the event the state election ­delivered a second successive hung parliament.

Queenslanders are due to go to the polls early next year, but Ms Palaszczuk still has the option of calling a snap election in the lead-up to Christmas, with the most ­viable dates being November 18 or November 25. Published opinion polling shows that One Nation is on track to win seats and seize the balance of power as voters turn their backs on the major parties.

Sydney radio presenter Alan Jones, whose top-rating breakfast program is broadcast into Queensland, yesterday threw his support behind Senator Hanson, declaring on air: “She is now the only hope for democracy in Queensland.”

A recent ReachTel poll had One Nation on 18.1 per cent of the vote statewide, putting it within reach of a top-two finish in seats outside metropolitan Brisbane where its support is clustered. Potentially, the preferences of the third-placed party, either direct from the LNP or through leakage from Labor, could then push One Nation across the line.

In seats where One Nation ran third or lower in the count its preferences could still be decisive, especially for the LNP. The breakdown of the September 29 ReachTel poll for The Sunday Mail in Brisbane and Sky News shows they split 76.7 per cent to 23.3 per cent in favour of the LNP — significantly higher than the carve-up in Western Australia, where the Liberals got about 60 per cent of One Nation preferences against 40 per cent for the ALP.

Both ReachTel and the September 6 Newspoll for The Australian show the major parties’ primary vote in Queensland plumbing historically low levels. ReachTel’s survey of 4038 voters had Labor on just 32.1 per cent, while in Newspoll it was 37.5 per cent, down slightly on the 2015 election result that delivered minority government to Ms Palaszczuk. The LNP slumped to 34 per cent in Newspoll, from 41.3 per cent at the last election, and was on a primary vote of 30.6 per cent in ReachTel.

The two polls were mirror opposites on the crucial two-party-preferred vote, in part reflecting differences in how the preference flows were modelled. Newspoll gave Labor an election-winning lead of 53-47 per cent over the LNP, while in ReachTel the LNP was ahead, 52-48 per cent.

While Ms Palaszczuk has slammed the door on One Nation, Mr Nicholls has left open the possibility of a seat-by-seat arrangement to swap preferences. Mr Ashby, however, said there had been no approach yet from the LNP to him, Senator Hanson or One Nation’s campaign leader in Queensland, former LNP MP Steve Dickson.

“There are only three people that anyone can speak to about preferences,” Mr Ashby said. “They certainly haven’t spoken to me, Pauline or Steve Dickson about the seats they want to shore up with the help of One Nation … we’ve had more contact from people within the Labor camp.”

In preferencing sitting MPs last, One Nation is following past practice in Queensland, where its heyday was the 1998 state election that netted it 11 seats on a statewide vote of nearly 22 per cent.

Mr Ashby said the party had preselected 56 candidates for the 93 state seats that will be up for grabs when Ms Palaszczuk fires the starter’s gun on the election. One Nation’s candidates are mainly in regional and non-metropolitan parts of the state.

But in an escalation of the niggle with Mr Nicholls, he said One Nation would target the LNP leader in his safe inner-Brisbane seat of Clayfield.

{ 20 comments… add one }
  • GTD 12/10/2017, 7:10 am

    Lots of billboards popping up around Brisbane with the useless liebor pollies.
    I smell am election very soon..

  • TommyGun 12/10/2017, 7:56 am

    I can’t wait for it…and I don’t even live in Qld!!!

  • Gregoryno6 12/10/2017, 8:07 am

    From Perth With Love. Drain The Swamp, Pauline.

  • Lorraine 12/10/2017, 8:12 am

    Go Pauline, yes this is going to be a very interesting election and the Queensland people had better vote for a power station with Coal

  • luk1955 12/10/2017, 8:15 am

    Hung parliaments are a great deal. The fewer “laws” parliaments pass the better we are. Every law they pass removes one more right we have had for millions of years. We would be much better off to do away with government altogether so we can really progress and live the way humans, not animals, were meant to live. Abolition of governments would see the end of wars, as wars are started, caused by, and aggravated by governments. However, no government servant ever fights in the wars they start. They get the foolish among us to do that. And political parties that negotiate with other wannabe dictators sell out their voters and are criminals just as much as bureaucrats.

  • Pensioner Pete 12/10/2017, 8:30 am

    Out here in the sticks, the demand is intensifying for lumps of splintery 4×2 with a nail in one end. The rural areas of Queensland seemingly do not exist in the minds of the SE Corner focused politicians and for today’s news that Puzzleduck is sending her ministers out into the regions to fly the Labor flag is outright hypocrisy, I doubt we will see any of the Labor or LNP political hacks here in town chatting to the people. We have a State LNP MP = never seen, we have a Federal LNP MP = never seen. The only politician seen, and seen on three occasions because she walked the streets and conversed with the people about their concerns is Pauline Hanson. Myself and my wife were fortunate enough to have 30 minutes alone with Pauline to put our concerns about the political neglect of our area to her. One doesn’t have to be a Rhodes Scholar to work out how this area is going to vote come next State and Federal elections.

  • Rossco 12/10/2017, 9:38 am

    Luke, when I read your comments I dispair because I side with you on all your points. I see my own words in your hand and yet I dispair for it cannot be so. We cannot put any group of people together without cliques forming and leaders emerging. Without Governance we get anarchy which ends in tears. I’ll keep pushing for smaller government by being a conservative, but ashamedly, if I have to give advice to a loved one I would be the pragmatist and say if you can’t beat them, join them, fight your way to the top any way you can. There are 7 billion competitors out there all organised with their Governments who don’t know or care about your existence.

  • Bushranger71 12/10/2017, 10:07 am

    I find it exasperating that One Nation advocates Electoral Reform, yet has done nothing in that direction and keeps on playing the preference game.

    Consider what the outcome might be if only the primary votes were counted and preferential criteria did not apply.

    • Pensioner Pete 12/10/2017, 10:28 am

      BR71: One Nation are not yet in a powerful enough political position to bring about electoral reform, however, after the coming Queensland election I am hopeful One Nation will bring about much needed change, I am also hopeful the One Nation promised electoral reform will give an equal voice to rural Queensland, unlike how it is now where the concentration of elected politicians are in the SE Corner of the State, hence the neglect of rural Queensland.

      • Bushranger71 12/10/2017, 12:53 pm

        Pete; MPs and Senators are entitled to float a bill in the Parliament at will, and if it gets defeated, resubmit same after the proscribed period.

        The benefit in doing that is it would force some debate on Electoral Reform and make the major parties show their true colours.

        It is not necessary to be in a powerful political position to make some headway in the Parliament; really just a matter of how you choose to use the rules.

      • Albert 12/10/2017, 1:18 pm

        Two things come to mind here.
        The first is the stupidity of making the same mistake over and over expecting a different result. The lesson is don’t waste any more of parliaments time if you don’t have the numbers to pull it off.
        The second is making the major parties show their true colours. If you don’t know their true colours now then you shouldn’t be allowed to vote.

    • zoltan 12/10/2017, 10:30 am

      It has to be said, the preferential thingy does make a mockery of “one man (person) one vote”

  • Eliza 12/10/2017, 10:26 am

    With this election and the one in Tasmania earlier next year, watch out for “get-up” It has the Soros money and will be putting it behind labour and the greens. Go One Nation.

    • Pensioner Pete 12/10/2017, 10:31 am

      The MSM attacks on One Nation have commenced, I refer to yesterdays Courier Mail regarding the 8 Queensland candidates booted from One Nation, so the good oil must be on a Queensland election being called very soon.

  • Biking Voter 12/10/2017, 1:05 pm

    It will be a long time before One Nation has any credibility as a serious mainstream political party.
    They are still running around like headless chooks and destroying themselves with petty infighting.

  • Aktosplatz 12/10/2017, 1:29 pm

    Pauline, all you have to do is campaign for the construction of coal fired power stations.

    It will be a landslide for you.

    • Joe Blogs 12/10/2017, 1:59 pm

      And give that Arseby the bum’s rash – sorry, rush.

  • John Russell 12/10/2017, 5:49 pm

    I forecast a shock result for both dead-wood parties in the next Queensland election.

    If One Nation does well here the other states will be clamouring for One Nation representatives to run for their states.

    As for the Federal election, it will be really entertaining to watch as the dead-wood parties go into panic stricken mode.

  • TommyGun 12/10/2017, 7:23 pm

    I could have sworn I read in a paper that One Nation has sworn off giving preferences to other parties. Seems painful lesson from WA election in March was learned!

  • Bushranger71 12/10/2017, 8:12 pm

    So Albert; you seem to believe it not worthwhile forcing the major parties to debate issues in the Parliament that they prefer to avoid!

    Do you really know whether the major parties would support changing the voting system?

    There is precious little constructive debate goes on at all, so who are the time wasters?

    You do not always have to have a win in the chamber from a voting perspective to have made some headway. Just getting topics publicly aired is making ground.

    Seems to me there is a pretty shallow perception of how the political theatre can be made to work.

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